Forex Focus — Apr 13, 2026, 21:00 UTC

Transcript

Welcome back to Forex Focus on rawfin.tv! The Dollar Index shows underlying strength today. Despite the VIX easing 0.57 the 'Extreme Fear' index at 12 signals market apprehension. Rising inflation per the Dow's reaction to the CPI report reinforces a hawkish Fed narrative providing dollar support. EUR USD trades precisely at 1.1680. The pair remains largely flat only moving a few pips. A lack of new hawkish signals from the ECB keeps the euro subdued. We see continued pressure on the pair with USD strength capping upside. For exotic pairs while majors are stable regional tensions highlighted by Poland's central bank holding rates at 3.75 could hint at volatility in emerging markets. Keep an eye on carry trades there. Central bank watch The Fed's hawkish stance is solidified by persistent inflation. The 10-year Treasury yield dipped 0.46 but CPI data dominates. No new commentary from the ECB or BOJ this week. Tomorrow watch EUR USD resistance at 1.1700. Support sits firmly at 1.1650. These levels will dictate the next 50-pip swing. That's your Forex Focus exclusively